Monthly Archives: July 2018

July 30, 2018

Analysing Climate Change: Projections for Singapore and the Southeast Asia Region

 

In 2015, MSS’ Centre for Climate Research Singapore (CCRS) completed the first phase of the Second National Climate Change Study, which provided climate projections up to 2100 for key variables such as temperature, rainfall, wind, and sea level rise. The Study’s findings form the basis for Singapore’s long-term climate change adaptation plans.

 

The Study’s methodology and findings were presented at the Special ASEAN Ministerial Meeting on Climate Action (SAMCA) held in Singapore on 10 July 2018. The presentation highlighted the complexities and challenges in generating climate scenarios and applying them to adaptation planning. It also touched on how better regional cooperation in data and knowledge exchange can overcome some of the challenges.

July 16, 2018

Dry and Warm Conditions to Persist for Rest of July 2018

Dry and warm conditions to continue for rest of July 2018. Expect 3-5 days of short-duration thundery showers between late morning and early afternoon, and 1 or 2 days of widespread thundery showers between predawn and early morning.

Singapore, 16 July 2018 – The prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions are forecast to persist in the second half of July 2018, and continue into September/early October 2018. During this period, the low level winds over Singapore and the surrounding region are expected to blow mostly from the southeast or southwest, and on brief occasions, to blow from the west.

2         The dry and warm weather conditions that were experienced over the southern parts of Southeast Asia, including Singapore in the first half of July 2018 are forecast to persist on most days for the rest of month. During the second fortnight of July 2018, the daily temperatures are expected to range between 24°C to 34°C. On days with little or no rain, the daily maximum temperature could reach a high of around 35°C.

3         In the next two weeks, short-duration thundery showers can still be expected on three to five days, mainly in the late morning and early afternoon. On one or two days during the period, the passage of a Sumatra squall from the Strait of Malacca to the South China Sea could bring widespread thundery showers and gusty winds over the island between the predawn hours and early morning. Overall, the rainfall for July 2018 is expected to be below normal over many parts of Singapore.

4         For updates of the daily weather forecast, please visit our MSS website (https://www.weather.gov.sg), NEA website (www.nea.gov.sg), or download the myENV app, or the MSS’ Weather@SG app.

REVIEW (1 – 15 July 2018)

5       In the first half of July 2018, Southwest Monsoon conditions prevailed over the region with low level winds blowing predominantly from the southeast or southwest.

6         Compared to the last fortnight of June 2018, the first fortnight of July 2018 received less rainfall due to stable atmospheric conditions that prevailed over the southern Southeast Asia region. This brought dry and warm weather conditions on most days during the first half of July 2018. The thundery showers experienced over parts of the island in the first two weeks of the month were due to strong solar heating of land areas coupled with convergence of winds in the surrounding vicinity on some days, and to the passage of the Sumatra squalls over Singapore as it moved east towards the South China Sea on a few mornings. The highest daily total rainfall recorded in July 2018 was 78.4mm on 7 July 2018 around Punggol. Strong daytime heating of land areas on 7 July 2018 brought intense thundery showers over the northern and eastern parts of Singapore in the late afternoon and evening.

7         In the first fortnight of July 2018, the daily maximum temperatures ranged between 29°C and 33°C on most days. The highest daily maximum temperature recorded during the fortnight was 34.4°C on 12 July 2018. The daily minimum temperature was around 24°C but fell below 22°C on a few occasions during intense thunderstorms.

8         About two-thirds of Singapore received below normal rainfall in the first fortnight of July 2018. The lowest rainfall of 15.2 mm (84% below average) was recorded at Queenstown. Rainfall was highest at Changi where 124.2 mm (67% above average) was recorded.

 

FWO 16 Jul

CLIMATE STATION STATISTICS FOR JULY (Climatological reference period: 1981 – 2010)

Mean daily maximum temperature 31.3 °C
Mean daily minimum temperature 25.0 °C
Mean monthly temperature 27.9 °C
Mean rainfall for the month 154.4 mm
Mean number of rain days 14
Highest monthly mean daily maximum temperature 32.4 °C (1997)
Lowest monthly mean daily minimum temperature 23.8 °C (1981)
Highest monthly rainfall 305.4 mm (1988)
Lowest monthly rainfall 18.6 mm (1997)

July 2, 2018

Less Wet Weather Expected in First Half of July 2018

Expect less wet weather in 1st half of Jul ’18 compared to 2nd half of Jun ‘18. Thundery showers are expected on 5-7 days between late morning and early afternoon, and 1-2 days between pre-dawn and early morning. A few warm days can be expected.

Singapore, 2 July 2018 – Southwest Monsoon conditions have been prevailing over Singapore and the surrounding region since June 2018. These conditions are forecast to persist in July 2018, with the low level winds blowing predominantly from the southeast or southwest. On a few days, the winds may shift to blow briefly from the west.

2         The first two weeks of July 2018 is not expected to be as wet as the last two weeks of June 2018. With less rainfall, generally warmer temperatures can be expected. On most days in the first half of July 2018, the daily temperature is forecast to range between 25°C and 34°C, and on a few of these days, the daily maximum temperature could reach a high of around 35°C.

3         In the first fortnight of July 2018, thundery showers due to strong solar heating of land areas are expected in the late morning and early afternoon on five to seven days. In addition, on one or two days between the predawn hours and early morning, the passage of a Sumatra squall from the Strait of Malacca towards the South China Sea is expected to bring thundery showers with occasional gusty winds over Singapore. Overall, the rainfall for the first fortnight of July 2018 is likely to be slightly below normal over most parts of Singapore.

4         For updates of the daily weather forecast, please visit our MSS website (https://www.weather.gov.sg), NEA website (www.nea.gov.sg), or download the myENV app, or the MSS’ Weather@SG app.

REVIEW (1 – 30 June 2018)

5         In June 2018, Southwest Monsoon conditions prevailed over Singapore and the region, and the low level winds were predominantly blowing from the southeast or southwest. June 2018 was a relatively wet month with most of the showers occurring in the second half of June 2018 than the first half of the month.

6         In the first two weeks of June 2018, there were several dry and warm weather days due to stable atmospheric conditions over Singapore and the surrounding region. In the second fortnight of June 2018, winds converging over Singapore and the surrounding vicinity brought moderate to heavy thundery showers to the island in the morning and early afternoon on most days. In addition, the passage of Sumatra squalls on a few days brought widespread thundery showers with gusty winds to Singapore between the predawn hours and morning.

7         In June 2018, the rain was heaviest on 26 June 2018 where the highest daily total rainfall recorded was 179.8mm around the Toh Tuck area. In addition, this is the fifth highest rainfall ever recorded (based on any rainfall station on the island) for the month of June, and is also the highest daily rainfall recorded to date in 2018.

8         The daily temperature in June 2018 ranged between 21.5°C and 35.0°C. In the first half of June 2018, there were a few days that were dry and warm with daily maximum temperatures of above 34°C. The highest daily maximum temperature of 35.0°C was recorded at the Marina Barrage area on 6 June 2018. In the second half of June 2018, wetter weather brought relatively cooler temperatures to the island. During this period, there were 7 days where the daily maximum temperatures recorded were below 32.0°C, and 9 days where the daily minimum temperature fell below 23°C.

9          At the Changi climate station, the lowest daily maximum temperature recorded was 27.7°C on 27 June 2018, and the mean monthly daily maximum temperature recorded was 31.3°C, 0.7°C below the long-term mean for June.

10         Singapore received well above-normal rainfall in June 2018. The lowest rainfall of 151.0 mm (5% above average) was recorded at Admiralty. Rainfall was highest at Ulu Pandan (around the Toh Tuck area) where 648.2 mm (270% above average) was recorded.

Fortnightly Weather Outlook 2 - 15 Jul 2018

CLIMATE STATION STATISTICS FOR JULY (Climatological reference period: 1981 – 2010)

Mean daily maximum temperature 31.3 °C
Mean daily minimum temperature 25.0 °C
Mean monthly temperature 27.9 °C
Mean rainfall for the month 154.4 mm
Mean number of rain days 14
Highest monthly mean daily maximum temperature 32.4 °C (1997)
Lowest monthly mean daily minimum temperature 23.8 °C (1981)
Highest monthly rainfall 305.4 mm (1988)
Lowest monthly rainfall 18.6 mm (1997)