Monthly Archives: November 2017

November 30, 2017

Expect Wet Weather to Continue under Prevailing Northeast Monsoon Conditions

Singapore experiencing Northeast Monsoon conditions. Generally wet weather over the coming fortnight and a few cool nights. 

Singapore, 30 November 2017 – Singapore and the surrounding region are currently experiencing the Northeast Monsoon which set in over Singapore in the second half of November 2017. During the Northeast Monsoon season, the prevailing low level winds typically blow predominantly from the northeast.

2          The Northeast Monsoon season typically comprises a wet phase from December to January, followed by a dry phase from February to March.  The wet phase is characterised by short-duration moderate to heavy thundery showers, mostly in the afternoon, and on some days extending into the evening. In addition, there can be two to four episodes of monsoon surges[1] which usually bring prolonged, widespread rainfall lasting between two and five days, occasionally windy conditions, and cooler temperatures to Singapore.

3          In the first fortnight of December 2017, wet weather conditions are expected to prevail over Singapore and the surrounding region. During this period, Singapore is expected to experience moderate to heavy short-duration thundery showers in the afternoon and evening on five or six days. Widespread moderate to heavy thundery showers with occasional windy conditions can also be expected between the predawn hours and morning on one or two days.

4          Around the second week of the fortnight, a monsoon surge could develop and affect the South China Sea and the surrounding region. This could bring a few days of cooler temperatures, occasionally windy conditions and widespread moderate to heavy rain to Singapore. Rainfall for the first fortnight of December 2017 is forecast to be well-above normal.

5           During the first half of December 2017, daily maximum temperatures of between 31°C and 32°C are expected.  On a few rainy days during the fortnight, the daily maximum and minimum temperatures could drop to around 29°C and 22°C respectively.

6          For updates of the daily weather forecast, please visit the MSS website (https://www.weather.gov.sg), NEA website (www.nea.gov.sg), or download the myENV app, MSS’ Weather@SG app.

REVIEW (1 – 29 November 2017)

7          In the second half of November 2017, the prevailing light and variable winds gradually strengthened to blow from the northeast or northwest as the region transitioned from inter-monsoon conditions to the Northeast Monsoon.

8          In November 2017, the presence of the monsoon rain band over the equatorial belt brought above normal rainfall to most parts of the southern ASEAN region, including Singapore. In the last week of November 2017, a monsoon surge brought widespread moderate to heavy monsoon rains and occasional windy conditions to north-eastern parts of Peninsular Malaysia.

9          During the month, Singapore experienced thundery showers mostly in the afternoon due to strong solar heating of land areas coupled with the convergence of winds over Singapore and the surrounding vicinity. There were several days when the occurrence of Sumatra squalls brought moderate to heavy thundery showers over many parts of Singapore between the predawn hours and morning.  The highest daily rainfall recorded for the month was 130.6mm in the East Coast area on 14 November 2017, when the passage of a Sumatra squall brought widespread heavy rain to the island. As at 29 November 2017, the Changi climate station recorded a total of 24 rain days[2] for November 2017, well above the long-term average of 18 rain days for November.

10        On most days during the month, the daily maximum temperatures ranged between 31°C and 33°C. There were however a few warm days with  daily maximum temperatures of around 34°C. At the Changi climate station, the monthly mean daily maximum temperature recorded for November 2017 (as of 29 November) was 30.8°C, which is 0.4°C lower than the long-term average daily maximum temperature for November.

11        Most parts of Singapore received well above normal rainfall in November 2017. The highest rainfall of 467.2mm (84% above average) was recorded around the Seletar area. Rainfall was lowest around the Choa Chu Kang area where 250mm (3% above average) was recorded.

[1] A rain day is defined as a day where 0.2mm of more of rain was recorded.

[2]  A monsoon surge refers to the strengthening of northeasterly winds blowing from a strong high-pressure system over the northern Asian continent toward the South China Sea, bringing periods of prolonged widespread rain and windy conditions to the surrounding region including Singapore and Peninsular Malaysia. (Further information is available at  https://www.weather.gov.sg/learn_weather_systems/).

 

November2017

CLIMATE STATION STATISTICS FOR December (Climatological reference period: 1981 – 2010)

Mean daily maximum temperature 30.2 °C
Mean daily minimum temperature 24.0 °C
Mean monthly temperature 26.4 °C
Mean rainfall for the month 318.6 mm
Mean number of rain days 18
Highest monthly mean daily maximum temperature 31.3 °C (1997, 2002)
Lowest monthly mean daily minimum temperature 23.0 °C (1981, 1983)
Highest monthly rainfall 765.9 mm (2006)
Lowest monthly rainfall 62.9 mm (1989)

November 16, 2017

Onset of Northeast Monsoon Expected in Late November 2017

Northeast Monsoon to arrive in late Nov’17, and last till Mar’18. Wet weather expected in the next fortnight.

Singapore, 16 November 2017 – In the second fortnight of November 2017, the prevailing inter-monsoon conditions are expected to transition to the Northeast Monsoon. The prevailing light and variable low level winds are forecast to gradually strengthen and blow predominantly from the northwest or northeast towards the end of the month. This marks the onset of the Northeast Monsoon season which is expected to extend till March 2018.

2          The wet weather conditions experienced in the first fortnight of the month are expected to persist in the second half of November 2017. During this period, moderate to heavy thundery showers are forecast mostly in the afternoon on six to eight days, and may extend into the evening on a few of these days. In addition, widespread thundery showers accompanied by gusty winds can be expected between the predawn and early morning on one or two days. November is normally the second wettest month of the year with December being the wettest. The rainfall for November 2017 is likely to be well-above average for most parts of Singapore.

3          The daily temperature on most days in the second half of November 2017 is forecast to range between 24°C and 33°C. There could be a few warm days in the last two weeks of November 2017 where the daily maximum temperature could reach a high of around 34°C. On a few days when rain is expected to fall over most parts of the day, the daily minimum temperature could reach a low of around 22°C.

4          For updates of the daily weather forecast, please visit our MSS website (https://www.weather.gov.sg), NEA website (www.nea.gov.sg), or download the myENV app, MSS’ Weather@SG app.

REVIEW (1 – 15 November 2017)

5          Inter-monsoon conditions prevailed over Singapore and the surrounding region in the first fortnight of November 2017. The low level winds during this period were generally light and variable in direction.

6          On most days in the past fortnight, there were moderate to heavy thundery showers in the afternoon due to strong solar heating of land areas. In addition, the passage of Sumatra squalls on several days brought widespread thundery showers with gusty winds to Singapore between the predawn hours and morning. In the first fortnight of November 2017, the highest daily rainfall of 130.6mm was recorded on 14 November 2017 around the East Coast area. This was due to the passage of an intense Sumatra squall over the island bringing widespread rain for most parts of the day.

7          During the first half of November 2017, the daily maximum temperature was between 28.5°C and 33.8°C, except for 15 November 2017 where the temperature reached a high of 34.1°C in the northern part of the island. The rainy weather during this period brought several days of cool night-time temperatures, with the daily minimum temperature ranging between 22.5°C and 24°C.

8          Most parts of Singapore received above normal rainfall in the first fortnight of November 2017. The highest rainfall of 382.2mm (190% above average) was recorded around the Seletar area. Rainfall was lowest around the Jurong area where 95.2mm (27% below average) was recorded.

Rainfall Anomaly 1-15 Nov 2017

 

 

CLIMATE STATION STATISTICS FOR November (Climatological reference period: 1981 – 2010)

Mean daily maximum temperature 31.1 °C
Mean daily minimum temperature 24.3 °C
Mean monthly temperature 27.0 °C
Mean rainfall for the month 258.5 mm
Mean number of rain days 18
Highest monthly mean daily maximum temperature 32.0 °C (1997)
Lowest monthly mean daily minimum temperature 23.6 °C (1981, 1983, 1991)
Highest monthly rainfall 508.4 mm (1989)
Lowest monthly rainfall 53.5 mm (1981)

November 1, 2017

More Thundery Showers Expected in The First Half of Nov 2017

Expect more afternoon thundery showers in 1st half of Nov’17. Showers could extend into the evening on a few days.

Singapore, 1 November 2017 – Singapore and the surrounding region are experiencing inter-monsoon conditions which are expected to prevail in November 2017. The inter-monsoon period is characterised by more rainfall and light winds that are variable in direction. Climatologically, lightning activity during the inter-monsoon period is highest during the year.

2          November is normally the second wettest month of the year after December. For the first half of November 2017, short-duration moderate to heavy thundery showers are forecast mostly in the afternoon on six or eight days. On a few of these days, the thundery showers could extend into the evening, and high lightning activity can be expected. On two or three days during the first fortnight of the month, Sumatra squalls moving eastward across Singapore towards the South China Sea could bring widespread thundery showers accompanied by gusty winds to the island between the predawn hours and early morning. Rainfall for the first fortnight of November 2017 is expected to be above normal.

3          In the first half of November 2017, the daily temperature on most days is forecast to range between 24°C and 33°C. On a few days, the daily maximum temperature could reach a high of 34°C, in particular on fine weather days when there are few clouds in the sky and winds that are light.

4          For updates of the daily weather forecast, please visit our MSS website (https://www.weather.gov.sg), NEA website (www.nea.gov.sg), or download the myENV app, MSS’ Weather@SG app.

REVIEW (1 – 31 October 2017)

5          Southwest Monsoon conditions with low level winds blowing from the southeast or southwest prevailed over Singapore and the surrounding region in the first half of October 2017. In the third week of the month, the Southwest Monsoon eased to give way to inter-monsoon conditions where winds weakened to become light and variable in direction.

6          Except for the third week of the month, it was relatively wet in October 2017. The dry and warm conditions in the third week of October 2017 was due to stable atmospheric conditions as warm and dry air prevailed over Singapore and the surrounding region. During the month, most of the thundery showers fell in the late morning and afternoon, and on a few days, extended into the evening. The thundery showers were due to strong solar heating of land areas coupled with the convergence of winds over Singapore and the surrounding vicinity. The occurrence of Sumatra squalls on several days also brought moderate to heavy thundery showers to many parts of Singapore between midnight and early morning. The heaviest daily rainfall recorded during the period was 129.8mm around Tuas on 12 October 2017. There were 21 rain days1 in October 2017, three days more than the long term mean for October. This ties with the highest number of rain days for October recorded in 1985 and 2003.

7          The daily temperature in October 2017 ranged between 22.6°C and 35.3°C. During the week of 16 October 2017, when conditions were warm and dry, there were five days when the daily maximum temperature was more than 34°C. At the Changi climate station, the highest daily maximum temperature recorded was 34.6°C on 18 October 2017. This ties with the highest daily maximum temperature ever recorded at our climate station in October (in 2002 and 2016). The mean monthly temperature recorded for October 2017 was 28.1°C, which is 0.5°C warmer than the long-term mean for October.

8          About half of Singapore received above normal rainfall in October 2017. The highest rainfall of 286.4mm (33% above average) was recorded around MacRitchie Reservoir. Rainfall was lowest around Admiralty where 114.8mm (46% below average) was recorded.

1A rain day is defined as a day where 0.2mm or more of rain was recorded.

FortnightRain_Anomaly_201710bb

CLIMATE STATION STATISTICS FOR November (Climatological reference period: 1981 – 2010)

Mean daily maximum temperature 31.1 °C
Mean daily minimum temperature 24.3 °C
Mean monthly temperature 27.0 °C
Mean rainfall for the month 258.5 mm
Mean number of rain days 18
Highest monthly mean daily maximum temperature 32.0 °C (1997)
Lowest monthly mean daily minimum temperature 23.6 °C (1981, 1983, 1991)
Highest monthly rainfall 508.4 mm (1989)
Lowest monthly rainfall 53.5 mm (1981)