4.1      The prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions are likely to strengthen over the next few months. During this period, the current rainy season in the northern ASEAN region is expected to keep the hotspot activities generally subdued.

4.2      Over in the southern ASEAN region, the dry season is expected to be established gradually in the coming weeks. During the dry season, elevated hotspot activities accompanied by smoke haze can be expected in the fire-prone areas of Sumatra and Borneo, particularly during extended periods of dry weather. Vigilance should therefore be stepped up for any escalation in hotspot activities in the fireprone areas in the coming months.

4.3      With the likelihood of a La Nina developing in the next few months, many parts of the ASEAN region can expect above normal rainfall. Rainfall for July and August 2010 is forecast to be normal to slightly above normal. In September 2010, normal to slightly above normal rainfall is expected for the ASEAN region except for Thailand where above normal rainfall is expected. (Fig. 10 to Fig. 12).

Fig 10. Rainfall Outlook for the ASEAN Region (Jul 2010)

Fig 11. Rainfall Outlook for the ASEAN Region (Aug 2010)

Fig 12. Rainfall Outlook for the ASEAN Region (Sep 2010)

<< Prev